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Psycholing/ Compling Seminar: Claire-Moore Cantwell: Gambler’s Fallacy effects in probabilistic wug-test responses
Abstract: Participants exhibit the ‘gambler’s fallacy’ in wug-test responses, adjusting their probability of a response based on previous responses. In particular, they avoid giving the same response three times in a row. This effect was strongest when two options were explicitly presented (a 2-alternative forced choice task), and weaker when participants were simply asked to provide a response. The effect weakened further when participants performed the wug-test under cognitive load.